NFL 2020 – Week 8 Expert Picks

Our Baseline Times Staff has broken down expert picks for each game in Week 6 of the 2020 NFL Season. Check out their predictions!

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The Poor QB Fantasy League

Inspired by the many Bad QB Fantasy leagues that came before us. Notably Grantland – RIP.

Poor QB Weekly Results

WeekWinner
1Glow – 118 pts behind Fitz’s 182 yds, 3 Int, 1 fumble, no TD game
2Chevy – 21 pts on Darnold’s 179 yd game
3Chevy – riding the Danold train – 102 pts
4Rhoby – 70 pts on Danny Dimes’ dismal 190 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, & 2 sacks
5Jano – 95 pts on Wentz’s 2 INTs & 5 sacks and Haskins’ mid-week benching
6Glow – 126 pts (season high at the time) in a win for the Broncos
7Chevy – 180 pts (by far the season high) on Darnold’s absolute dumpster fire of a Week 7 game
Week by Week Standings

Chevy – I was torn between starting Nick Foles and Sam Darnold this week I’m glad I stuck to my guns and went with the miserable Jets. 120 yards, 0 Touchdowns, and 2 interceptions later and I’m fist pumping. That’s a collective 150 but let’s factor in these 6 sacks the Bills accomplished. That’s 180 points this week thanks to Mr. Darnold and his terrible ways. Last week the league topped a new weekly high. This week we’re at it again and this time the new weekly high is on my side! Chalk-up that W for me! 

Glow – Man! I thought for sure Week 7 would be a victory for Team Glow! 71 points based on Drew Lock’s 199 yd, 1 INT, 1 fumble, 2 sack, 0 TD game. Add in 30 points for Fitzmagic’s bye week benching and I was looking at 101 total points. That’s good enough to win most weeks! Alas, it was not to be as Sam Darnold put up the Poor QB League equivalent of Wilt the Stilt’s 100 point NBA game. There is always next week though. I’ll be sticking with Drew Lock until I see what sort of NFL debut Tua has. He’s a rookie but he is TUA. I’ll never be able to start him in this league if he performs anything like fellow rookie QB’s Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. I’m not super optimistic for his Poor QB League chances.

Rhoby – Daniel Jones made his first start in Philadelphia last Thursday and had some shining moments! I am very grateful rushing yards don’t count for the QBs in this league. Jones’ 80-yard run (that ended in a way that rivals myself stumbling out of bars at last call) was the longest run by a QB since Marcus Mariota’s 87-yard TD run back in 2015. However, in true Poor QB fashion, DJ showed up for me when it mattered most, fumbling the ball and thus, sealing a close win for the Eagles. 
STAT LINE: 28-47 301 yds 1 TD 1 INT 1 fumble 4 sacks – 43 pts

Jano – I figured I wouldn’t fair too well this week considering both of my QBs were facing off against other NFC East teams and it turns out the same thing is happening in Week 8 with them flip flopping match ups. Dallas is so bad they made Kyle Allen look like Peyton Manning out there. He was only sacked twice, had 0 turnovers, and posted an impressive 111 passer rating. I’ll be rolling with Washington again in week 8 as they face off against the Giants. What’s my other option here? Start Carson Wentz against the Cowboys who are cutting players left and right? No thanks. Expect Carson to put up MVP type numbers this week.

Poor QB Concept

NFL passing records are dropping like flies these days. The new-ish rules have allowed quarterbacks to flourish like never before. Oh, what’s that? Mahomes throws for 60 TDs this year? Does Lamar Jackson run for 1500 yards? Did Drew Brees pass for 5500 yards? Big Whoop. Here is the revival of a 2020 twist, the Fantasy Football League where a bad quarterback is a good thing.

The Baseline Times believes that there is too much emphasis placed on the top tier quarterback play. Instead, we think that all quarterback play should be taken into consideration. Maybe the quarterback profession should even be taken down a peg or two. While standard fantasy football is fun, we’ll show you what a Bad Quarterback League can do with some friendly staff competition.

Thus, we have tried to encapsulate what it truly means to be a bad NFL QB (which is still no small feat). We will now play fantasy football with this data for our own amusement. Of course, things like poor on-field play are taken into account: turnovers, lack of production, even getting benched, etc. But the art of bad NFL quarterback play includes so much more than that. It includes things like: being a locker room cancer, undermining your coaches, alienating your teammates, making terrible off-field decisions, and embarrassing your team. So, provisions have been made for such off-field bad quarterbacking as well. See the rules below and follow along with your own league!

RULES

  • Draft two NFL teams using a snake-style draft. You draft the entire quarterback room for each team, not just the starter or an individual QB.
  • Each week, choose one team to start. Only this starting team will score on-field points.
  • Every QB on your roster is eligible for off-field points. That means whether or not you started a team or if the third-string QB goes on a bender you still get points for their off-field activities.
  • No head to head match-ups in this fantasy league. The total high score wins each week.

ON-FIELD POINTS:

  • Interception: 20 points
  • Fumble: 10 points
  • Sack: 5 points
  • No passing/rushing TDs in a game (by QBs on the roster): 30 points
  • Benched/replaced during a game (not due to injury): 50 points
  • Passing yards below 200: 1 point for each yard (i.e. 180 yards = 20 points).
  • 3 TDs (passing or rushing): -10 points
  • 4 TD’s (passing or rushing): -20 points
  • 5 TD’s (passing or rushing): -30 points
  • Passing yards in excess of 300: -1 point for each yard (i.e. 320 yards = -20 points)

OFF-FIELD POINTS:

  • Official “vote of confidence” from the coach: 10 points
  • Mid-week quarterback change (not-due to injury): 30 points
  • Whining about his coaching, defense, linemen, or receivers: 10 points
  • Teammate/coach calls him out: 10 points
  • Violation of normal team rules: 10 points
  • Practice/locker room fight: (verbal): 10 points (physical): 20 points
  • An altercation on sidelines goes viral: 30 points
  • Detained/questioned by police (non-protest/civil rights related): 20 points
  • Arrested (non-protest/civil rights related): 100 points
  • Anatomical pic goes viral: 100 points
  • Goes viral for dirty laundry getting called out (due to his own actions): 100 points
  • Suspended: 50 points per game
  • Violates the quarantine/COVID protocol: 50 points
  • Apologizes during interview/on social media: 20 points
  • Official apology press conference: 100 points

Baseline Times Poor QB Draft:

TeamPick 1Pick 1 StarterPick 2Pick 2 Starter
ChevyBearsTrubiskyJetsDarnold
RhobyJagsMinshewGiantsDanny Dimes
JanoWashingtonHaskins ChargersTaylor
GlowBroncosLockFinsFitzmagic

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NFL 2020 – Week 7 Expert Picks

Our Baseline Times Staff has broken down expert picks for each game in Week 6 of the 2020 NFL Season. Check out their predictions!

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Fantasy Football Tips: Gabe’s Faves and Fades – Week 7

Welcome back fantasy sports heads for another edition of my faves and fades. Please excuse the hiatus last week as life took over but I’ll do my best to make it up to you now. I went 5-5-1 in Week 5 as the roller coaster of football continues. Without further ado let’s get into it.

Quarterback

Matthew Stafford – The Lions and Stafford roll into Atlanta to face off against the struggling Falcons with the third-highest spread of the day at 55 as 2 point dogs. The Falcons have surrendered 27 ppg, 324.8 pass yards on 39.3 pass attempts to QB’s over the last 4 games. Stafford on the season hasn’t been impressive this season only scoring over 20 points once but has a chance to redeem himself in this spot. Stacking with Golladay and/or Hockenson should be ideal. – FAVE

Kyler Murray – This guy is a guaranteed 20+ points a game this season thanks to his running ability and Deandre Hopkins. This is the second-highest spread on the slate at 56. This is a dream matchup against the Seahawks who have green across the board in every category for opposing QBs. Don’t get cute and fire him up every single game – FAVE

Ryan Tannehill – Remember when the Dolphins couldn’t decide on whether or not if Tannehill was a QB that could thrive in this league? They were wrong. In fact, every player that leaves that organization goes on to have great seasons. Tannehill has been spectacular in the first full season with the Titans leading them to a perfect 5-0 start. Now forget everything I just said and fade him in this matchup against the Steelers who are also 5-0. Pittsburgh allows 16.5 ppg, 245 pass yards, 32.5% attempts on an 18.5% completion rate for opposing QB’s. There will be better weeks for Tannehill ahead. – FADE

Running Back

David Johnson – with the exception of Adrian Peterson every back against the Packers this season has scored 19+ fantasy points. Unfortunately for Johnson, 19 points would be his ceiling this season. Green Bay is ranked 23 in rush TD’s (1.3) as they have allowed 38% more fantasy points to Running Backs on the road. The problem for DJ is that the Texans have been playing from behind a good deal which meant more passing. I believe DJ can right in this spot. – FAVE

Jamaal Williams – Keeping within that same game, Aaron Jones is OUT so Williams becomes an intriguing option. Running backs have gouged the Texans to the tune of at least 27 fantasy points and a touchdown this season. While he isn’t Jones in terms of running he more than makes up for it in the receiving game. Fire him up. – FAVE

Derrick Henry – The same reasons expressed for Tannehill apply to Derrick Henry and the Titans. It’s just a tough match up although I’m a bit conflicted. The game total stands at 50 with the Titans a one-point favorite which would mean game script dictates Henry having a huge role in the outcome. On the other hand, A.J. Brown is questionable which would mean the Steelers would sell out to stop Henry if Brown sits. You absolutely start him in leagues but look elsewhere in DFS. – FADE

Wide Receiver

Christian Kirk – The Cardinals offense is basically three guys in Murray, Hopkins, and Kirk. The running backs are too busy stepping over each other while Fitzgerald is out there running wind sprints. The Seahawks all season has been a pass funnel defense so I don’t see any reason that stops now. Kirk is more of leverage play off of Hopkins who should be wildly popular. Seattle is ranked 26th and 32nd in reception TD’s (1.1) and reception yards (208.9). – FAVE

Chase Claypool – He is going to be massive chalk in Week 7 going up against the 31st ranked Titans against the position over the last 4 weeks. Chase is listed as 3rd on the depth chart but is slowly morphing into the 1st. Juju seems more content on being second fiddle while Dionte Johnson can’t stay healthy long enough to get meaningful time. However, being that Johnson went out injured last game could be more reason you go back to him as leverage. Chase appears to have the most upside and win most jump ball battles as the taller receiver. I have no issue using any of these guys but Chase seems like the safest of the three. – FAVE

Julian Edelman – The 49ers may be banged up but they held top receivers on opposing squads below their season averages all season. With the exception of his 28 point explosion vs the pass funnel Seahawks, Edelman has been rather pedestrian this season. The Patriots just seem a bit disoriented as a unit at the moment which is probably wise to fade all the skill players here. – FADE

Tight End

TJ Hockenson – Third time is a charm, right? If he can’t get right vs the Putrid Hawks it will never happen. Every Tight end before him this season has had career games vs the Falcons. Tonyan (33), Graham (24), and Schultz (22) all came to play so there is no reason why TJ can’t do the same. – FAVE

D/ST

Buffalo Bills – Their opponent? The New York Jets !! – FAVE

See my previous Fantasy Football Tips below, and be sure to check back here next week for more FAVES and FADES!


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NFL 2020 – Week 6 Expert Picks

Our Baseline Times Staff has broken down expert picks for each game in Week 6 of the 2020 NFL Season. Check out their predictions!

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1st & 10 – Episode 13: NFL 2020 – Week 5 Recap

Adam & Mitch bring back on a guest star, Chaz, for their full analysis on Week 5 of the 202 NFL Season! Are you happy with how your team has been playing? Let us know!


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NFL – Week 5 Expert Picks

Our Baseline Times Staff has broken down expert picks for each game in Week 5 of the 2020 NFL Season. Check out their predictions!

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Fantasy Football Tips: Gabe’s Faves and Fades Week 5

Week 4….. WOOF! Going 4-5-2 on my picks has me contemplating my life choices. Nah it’s not that serious but I have observed a few takeaways as we enter Week 5. The Falcons, Cowboys and Seahawks are teams you should be building your DFS rosters around as they play very little defense. Let’s GO!!!!

Quarterback

Teddy Bridgewater – With the exception of Trubisky, quarterbacks have feasted against the Atlanta Falcons. Rodgers, Wilson, and Prescott have all eclipsed the 32 point fantasy mark with each surpassing 320 pass yards and Touchdown. The Falcons are ranked 24th or higher in terms of pass TD’s, yards and attempts allowed. – FAVE

Kirk Cousins – Please pray for me to even consider using Cousins in primetime. However, the Seahawks are passed funnel defense which is a gold mine for pass catchers. Fitzpatrick, Prescott, Newton, and Ryan each scored 26+ fantasy points, passing for over 300+ yards and combining for 6 TDs. Understand that the Vikings are a run-first team but could face a deficit forcing Cousins to throw more. – FAVE

Baker Mayfield – The Indianapolis Colts have held 3 of 4 opposing Quarterbacks below their season averages through four weeks. The Colts are ranked 7th in allowing 33.4 pass attempts which aren’t necessarily bad for the run first Browns. Speaking of the which have scored 49 real points against the Cowboys last week which Baker had very little to do with. Landry tossed a TD while Beckham rushed for one. – FADE

Running Back

James Robinson – Robinson has been excellent taking over the position left behind by Fournette. His increased snap count and involvement in the passing game makes him my absolute favorite back this week. Houston has allowed 3 of 4 backs to surpass the 100 yards this season and touchdown. Set it and forget. – FAVE/CHALK

Mike Davis – ATLANTA FALCONS!!! Doing his best CMC impression, Davis has been great over his last three games. He will be the chalk of the slate for good reason. He has 7 RedZone targets in his past 3 games while Atlanta allows 12% more rush attempts at home. On the season, Davis has at least 10 rushes a game while recording 48.7 reception yards in that same span. Think of Davis as CMC lite. – FAVE/CHALK

Myles Gaskin – Furthermore, this is cheating because no one actually plays Dolphins running backs. It doesn’t take away from the fact that he has scored double-digit fantasy in all but one game this season. He is also a check down for Fitzmagic when Parker isn’t open. However, going up against the front seven of the 49ers isn’t a recommended play. You only play him if you need to punt the position and still, there are better options. – FADE

Wide Receiver

Minnesota Vikings WR’s – Going back to the “Attack the Seahawks” theme should be a wise decision. Both Thielen and Jefferson are in great spots to surpass the 20 point fantasy mark. Jefferson has a better matchup going against Tre Flowers who gave up 28 and 36 fantasy points to both Gallup and Ridley. You can’t go wrong with either so lock them in. – FAVE

Darius Slayton – Hello Dallas! The Cowboys are awful this season against the pass ranking 31st in TD’s allowed (1.7). They also allow 9% more fantasy points when favored opposite of the Giants who pass 14% more as underdogs. The only concern is Daniel Jones finding his man downfield. – FAVE

Hunter Renfrow – This $(@&@), the guy had a chance last week to hog all the targets and plays for himself. HE HAD ONE JOB as the rest of the receivers sat. You are better of going after Waller who is in a good spot vs the Chiefs. – FADE

Tight End

Eric Ebron – He is my favorite Tight End this week against a porous Philly team in disarray. Kittle ate them up for 43 fantasy points with a back up QB. Higbee had a career game scoring 28 while Logan Thomas beat his season average scoring 13. The Eagles are allowing a whopping 166% more fantasy points to Tight Ends when away. It also appears he and Big Ben have finally developed some sort chemistry which bodes well for Ebron going forward. – FAVE

D/ST

Arizona Cardinals – They are playing the Jets. THE END! – FAVE

See my previous Fantasy Football Tips below, and be sure to check back here next week for more FAVES and FADES!


Fantasy Football Picks: Gabe Lloyd’s Faves & Fades – Week 4

Fantasy Football Picks: Gabe Lloyd’s Faves & Fades – Week 3

Fantasy Football Picks: Gabe Lloyd’s Faves & Fades – Week 2

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NFL 2020 – Week 4 Expert Picks

Our Baseline Times Staff has broken down expert picks for each game in Week 4 of the 2020 NFL Season. Check out their predictions!

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Fantasy Football Tips: Gabe’s Faves and Fades – Week 4

Last week, I went 6-4-1 with my picks. Unfortunately, a few of my picks are performing better than I thought (at least in the last week). Brees ended up better than I expected thanks to Alvin Kamara taking passes out the backfield for chunk yards. Kenyan Drake was a massive disappointment scoring only 8 FP while Carson suffered a minor ankle injury for the push. CeeDee Lamb was a victim of the “too many mouths to feed” syndrome as Hockenson just straight up flopped. I am hoping that in Week 4 we watch teams with more stability on the field so that I continue to be on the winning column with my fantasy football tips.

QUARTERBACK

Joe Burrow – Burrow is getting better with each game after two close losses and a tie which means he is due for a win. Enter the Jaguars! Jacksonville is ranked 24th in allowing 271.3 pass yards and 16% more fantasy points on the road. – FAVE

Ryan Fitzpatrick – The magic man takes on the Seahawks in what could potentially be the game of the week in terms of passing yards. There is potential for Fitzmagic to be the highest scoring QB on the slate. Seattle is ranked 32nd in allowing 306.8 pass yards while ranked 31st in attempts allowed at 36.8. The Dolphins tend to pass a whopping 50% more when underdogs. I’d be surprised if Fitmagic didn’t surpass the 30 point fantasy mark. – FAVE

Justin Herbert – The Bucs defense is on the rise and only getting better. Making matters worse for Herbert is that defenses tend to disorient rookie QBs. Tampa is ranked 6th in TD’s allows (0.7) and limits opposing QB’s to 15% less pass attempts over their last 9 games. – FADE

RUNNING BACKS

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – This is my guy! I thoguht he was going to be taking a step back going up against a Baltimore Ravens defense on the road. Evidently, the Chiefs have other plans. Involving him in all facets of the run and passing game is making him game-script proof. KC rushes the ball 13% more when favored while the Pats allow 12% more fantasy points to backs on the road. CEH has 112 rec yards this season and i’d expect that to continueFAVE

Darrell Hendersen – THE NEW YORK GIANTS!!! Hendersen is making a good impression over the last two weeks, averaging 21 fantasy points. The Giants are a mess right now ranked 22nd in points allowed to backs. If we are following the game script, the Rams should be ahead early and often which means pounding the rock at will. – FAVE

Washington Football Backs – The back situation here is cloudy as they welcome the presumably pissed off Ravens to town. Gibson in particular has been disappointing after taking the head RB role. The Ravens are 5th ranked in rush TD’s (0.2) and allow 37% less fantasy points to RBs away. – FADE

WIDE RECEIVERS

Tyler Boyd – Makes sense to pair Boyd up with Burrow. Through 3 weeks he is the best slot receiver this season. Boyd has been targeted 20 times in the slot catching 17 balls. He is going up against DJ Hayden whom in which Boyd has the advantage. I can see him scoring between 15-18 fantasy points against the tanking Jags. – FAVE

Hunter Renfrow – Who? Yes Hunter Renfrow! He is basically the last man standing for a receiving corps dealing with injuries. Buffalo allows more passing attempts on the road, second most receiving yards, and the fourth most receptions. To add, Renfrow averages 17 fantasy points per game across 5 games in which his team is the underdog. Hoping this underrated picks bodes well for my fantasy football tips this week! – FAVE

Mike Williams – Read Justin Herbert – FADE

TIGHT ENDS

TJ Hockenson – I’m going back to the well with Hockenson after laying an egg vs. the Cards last week. Coming up are the Saints in Detroit who hemorrhage points to Tight Ends. Tonyan, Waller and Howard all scored above 13 fantasy points against the Saints this season. Furthermore, they are ranked 27th in yards allowed to the position (61.1) while giving up 54% more fantasy points to TE’s when favored. Lock him in. – FAVE

D/ST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – We always target defenses against rookie quarterbacks and this is no exception. The Chargers are throwing 1.2 INT’s a game and we can expect them to get after Herbert for a few sacks in this one. – FAVE

See my previous Fantasy Football Tips below, and be sure to check back here next week for more FAVES and FADES!


Fantasy Football Picks: Gabe Lloyd’s Faves & Fades – Week 3

Fantasy Football Picks: Gabe Lloyd’s Faves & Fades – Week 2

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